Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nyiregyhaza Spartacus win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Debrecen had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nyiregyhaza Spartacus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Debrecen win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nyiregyhaza Spartacus would win this match.
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