SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ujpest win with a probability of 37.88%. A win for Debrecen had a probability of 37.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ujpest win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Debrecen win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ujpest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ujpest | Draw | Debrecen |
37.88% ( 0.07) | 24.85% ( -0.02) | 37.27% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.33% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.07% ( 0.07) | 44.93% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.72% ( 0.07) | 67.29% ( -0.07) |
| Ujpest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.53% ( 0.07) | 23.47% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.51% ( 0.1) | 57.49% ( -0.1) |
| Debrecen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.21% ( 0) | 23.79% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.05% ( 0) | 57.95% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ujpest | Draw | Debrecen |
| 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.12% Total : 37.88% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.85% | 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 37.27% |
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