Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 69.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Ivory Coast had a probability of 10.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.12%) and 3-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Ivory Coast win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.