Belgium
5 - 1
Iceland

Witsel (13'), Batshuayi (17', 69'), Mertens (50'), Doku (80')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Fridjonsson (11')
Hermannsson (12')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's UEFA Nations League fixture between Belgium and Iceland, including team news and injury news.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 78.34%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 7.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.24%) and 1-0 (10.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (2.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
Belgium	Draw	Iceland
78.34%	14.29%	7.37%

Both teams to score 44.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.85%

38.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.57%

60.43%

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.12%

7.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.11%

27.89%

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.84%

52.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.89%

86.11%

Score Analysis

Belgium 78.33%

Iceland 7.37%

Draw 14.29%

Belgium	Draw	Iceland
2-0 @ 13.26% 3-0 @ 11.24% 1-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 8.64% 3-1 @ 7.32% 4-0 @ 7.14% 4-1 @ 4.65% 5-0 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 2.38% 5-1 @ 2.36% 6-0 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.51% 6-1 @ 1% Other @ 3.21% Total : 78.33%	1-1 @ 6.8% 0-0 @ 4.11% 2-2 @ 2.81% Other @ 0.57% Total : 14.29%	0-1 @ 2.67% 1-2 @ 2.21% Other @ 2.49% Total : 7.37%