SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambodia win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for East Timor had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambodia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.49%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest East Timor win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cambodia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambodia | Draw | East Timor |
47.72% ( -0.01) | 22.22% ( -0) | 30.06% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 65.63% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.6% ( 0.02) | 34.39% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.69% ( 0.02) | 56.31% ( -0.02) |
| Cambodia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.08% ( 0.01) | 14.92% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.69% ( 0.01) | 43.31% ( -0.01) |
| East Timor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.14% ( 0.01) | 22.86% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.41% ( 0.02) | 56.59% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambodia | Draw | East Timor |
| 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.49% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.17% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.26% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.75% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.03% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.86% 5-1 @ 1.05% 4-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 47.72% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.41% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.1% ( 0)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.22% | 1-2 @ 7.07% 0-1 @ 5.03% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.72% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 30.06% |
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