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GN
Friendlies 1
Oct 7, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
TN

Germany
3 - 3
Turkey

Draxler (45+1'), Neuhaus (58'), Waldschmidt (81')
Rudiger (18'), Draxler (23'), Can (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tufan (50'), Karaca (67'), Karaman (90+4')
Under (77')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Turkey win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
GermanyDrawTurkey
48.68%24.82%26.51%
Both teams to score 53.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.21%48.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.1%70.9%
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.92%20.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.68%52.32%
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.3%32.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.75%69.25%
Score Analysis
    Germany 48.68%
    Turkey 26.51%
    Draw 24.81%
GermanyDrawTurkey
1-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 9.46%
2-0 @ 8.46%
3-1 @ 5.06%
3-0 @ 4.53%
3-2 @ 2.83%
4-1 @ 2.03%
4-0 @ 1.82%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 48.68%
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 6.57%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.81%
0-1 @ 7.34%
1-2 @ 6.59%
0-2 @ 4.1%
1-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 1.97%
0-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 26.51%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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