Italy
6 - 0
Moldova

Cristante (19'), Caputo (23'), El Shaarawy (30', 45+1'), Posmac (38' og.), Berardi (72')

FT(HT: 5-0)

Carp (3'), Rata (77')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's international friendly between Italy and Moldova, including team news and predicted lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Italy could line up for Wednesday's international friendly with Moldova in Florence.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 76.86%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 7.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.42%) and 3-0 (11.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.36%), while for a Moldova win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.

Result
Italy	Draw	Moldova
76.86%	15.88%	7.26%

Both teams to score 37.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.89%

46.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.59%

68.41%

Italy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.85%

10.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.63%

33.37%

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.18%

57.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.5%

89.5%

Score Analysis

Italy 76.84%

Moldova 7.26%

Draw 15.88%

Italy	Draw	Moldova
2-0 @ 15.35% 1-0 @ 13.42% 3-0 @ 11.71% 2-1 @ 8.41% 4-0 @ 6.7% 3-1 @ 6.42% 4-1 @ 3.67% 5-0 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.68% 6-0 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.49% Total : 76.84%	1-1 @ 7.36% 0-0 @ 5.87% 2-2 @ 2.31% Other @ 0.35% Total : 15.88%	0-1 @ 3.22% 1-2 @ 2.02% Other @ 2.03% Total : 7.26%