Kenya
2 - 1
Zambia

Tandi (21' og.), Nyakeya (27')
(87'), (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kampamba (81')
Sakala (38'), Chongo (55')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Kenya and Zambia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 46.77%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kenya would win this match.

Result
Kenya	Draw	Zambia
46.77%	29.03%	24.2%

Both teams to score 40.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.84%

65.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16%

84%

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.86%

28.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.18%

63.82%

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.17%

43.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.01%

79.99%

Score Analysis

Kenya 46.77%

Zambia 24.2%

Draw 29.02%

Kenya	Draw	Zambia
1-0 @ 15.64% 2-0 @ 9.92% 2-1 @ 8.18% 3-0 @ 4.19% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.54% Total : 46.77%	1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 12.33% 2-2 @ 3.37% Other @ 0.42% Total : 29.02%	0-1 @ 10.17% 1-2 @ 5.32% 0-2 @ 4.2% 1-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 1.15% 2-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.2%