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Friendlies 3
Oct 7, 2020 at 2pm UK
Nkoloma Stadium
MN

Zambia
1 - 0
Malawi

Sikombe (15')
(23')
FT(HT: 1-0)

(34'), (44')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Zambia and Malawi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Malawi had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Malawi win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Zambia in this match.

Result
ZambiaDrawMalawi
42.22%26.68%31.11%
Both teams to score 50.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.04%53.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.59%75.41%
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.72%25.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.96%60.04%
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.05%31.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.6%68.4%
Score Analysis
    Zambia 42.21%
    Malawi 31.11%
    Draw 26.67%
ZambiaDrawMalawi
1-0 @ 11.1%
2-1 @ 8.72%
2-0 @ 7.64%
3-1 @ 4%
3-0 @ 3.5%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 42.21%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 8.08%
2-2 @ 4.97%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 9.21%
1-2 @ 7.23%
0-2 @ 5.26%
1-3 @ 2.75%
0-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.11%


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