Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 50.85%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 21.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.