Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 42.52%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Ivory Coast had a probability of 28.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.57%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Ivory Coast win it was 0-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nigeria | Draw | Ivory Coast |
42.52% | 29.04% | 28.44% |
Both teams to score 43.04% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.75% | 63.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.35% | 82.65% |
Nigeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.51% | 29.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.5% | 65.5% |
Ivory Coast Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.03% | 38.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.31% | 75.69% |
Score Analysis |
Nigeria | Draw | Ivory Coast |
1-0 @ 14.03% 2-0 @ 8.57% 2-1 @ 8.08% 3-0 @ 3.49% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.07% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 1.45% Total : 42.51% | 1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 11.49% 2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.04% | 0-1 @ 10.83% 1-2 @ 6.23% 0-2 @ 5.1% 1-3 @ 1.96% 0-3 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.52% Total : 28.44% |
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