Poland
5 - 1
Finland

Grosicki (9', 18', 38'), Piatek (53'), Milik (87')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Niskanen (68')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Poland and Finland.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Finland had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Finland win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.

Result
Poland	Draw	Finland
44.38%	26.23%	29.39%

Both teams to score 51.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.14%

52.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.52%

74.48%

Poland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.29%

23.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.17%

57.84%

Finland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.38%

32.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.84%

69.16%

Score Analysis

Poland 44.38%

Finland 29.39%

Draw 26.23%

Poland	Draw	Finland
1-0 @ 11.13% 2-1 @ 8.97% 2-0 @ 8.01% 3-1 @ 4.31% 3-0 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.77% Total : 44.38%	1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.73% 2-2 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.23%	0-1 @ 8.66% 1-2 @ 6.99% 0-2 @ 4.85% 1-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.39%