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PN
Friendlies 1
Oct 7, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
National Stadium
FN

Poland
5 - 1
Finland

Grosicki (9', 18', 38'), Piatek (53'), Milik (87')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Niskanen (68')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Poland and Finland.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Finland had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Finland win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.

Result
PolandDrawFinland
44.38%26.23%29.39%
Both teams to score 51.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.14%52.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.52%74.48%
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.29%23.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.17%57.84%
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.38%32.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.84%69.16%
Score Analysis
    Poland 44.38%
    Finland 29.39%
    Draw 26.23%
PolandDrawFinland
1-0 @ 11.13%
2-1 @ 8.97%
2-0 @ 8.01%
3-1 @ 4.31%
3-0 @ 3.84%
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 44.38%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 7.73%
2-2 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 8.66%
1-2 @ 6.99%
0-2 @ 4.85%
1-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 29.39%


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