SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Finland had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Finland win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Republic of Ireland | Draw | Finland |
| 44.81% | 26.62% | 28.58% |
| Both teams to score 49.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.25% | 54.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.93% | 76.07% |
| Republic of Ireland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.67% | 24.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.28% | 58.72% |
| Finland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.77% | 34.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.07% | 70.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Republic of Ireland | Draw | Finland |
| 1-0 @ 11.77% 2-1 @ 8.92% 2-0 @ 8.32% 3-1 @ 4.2% 3-0 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.56% Total : 44.81% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 8.33% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 8.93% 1-2 @ 6.77% 0-2 @ 4.79% 1-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.26% Total : 28.58% |
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