Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Finland had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Finland win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
