SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thailand win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for Bahrain had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Thailand win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Bahrain win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Thailand | Draw | Bahrain |
44.9% ( 0.02) | 26.79% ( -0.02) | 28.3% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.09% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.45% ( 0.07) | 55.54% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.28% ( 0.05) | 76.71% ( -0.06) |
| Thailand Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.36% ( 0.04) | 24.63% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.85% ( 0.06) | 59.14% ( -0.06) |
| Bahrain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.14% ( 0.03) | 34.86% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.4% ( 0.04) | 71.59% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Thailand | Draw | Bahrain |
| 1-0 @ 12.03% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.43% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 44.9% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.68% 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 28.3% |
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