Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Thailand had a probability of 17.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.88%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Thailand win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.