Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Togo win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Libya had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Togo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Libya win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%).