SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ashdod win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Hapoel Petah Tikva had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ashdod win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Hapoel Petah Tikva win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ashdod would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ashdod | Draw | Hapoel Petah Tikva |
38.93% ( -0.08) | 27.97% ( -0.05) | 33.1% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 47.59% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.62% ( 0.22) | 58.38% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.01% ( 0.17) | 78.99% ( -0.17) |
| Ashdod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.85% ( 0.06) | 29.15% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.92% ( 0.08) | 65.08% ( -0.08) |
| Hapoel Petah Tikva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.16% ( 0.2) | 32.84% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.6% ( 0.23) | 69.4% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ashdod | Draw | Hapoel Petah Tikva |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.64% Total : 38.92% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.97% | 0-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.59% Total : 33.1% |
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