SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 60.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Hapoel Tel Aviv had a probability of 15.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.69%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Hapoel Tel Aviv win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | Draw | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
15.68% ( 0.04) | 23.47% ( 0.14) | 60.85% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 42.63% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.27% ( -0.44) | 55.73% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.13% ( -0.36) | 76.87% ( 0.36) |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.01% ( -0.21) | 47.99% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.78% ( -0.15) | 83.22% ( 0.15) |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.98% ( -0.22) | 18.02% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.1% ( -0.38) | 48.9% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | Draw | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
| 1-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.03% Total : 15.68% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.52% Total : 23.47% | 0-1 @ 14.82% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 12.69% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 7.25% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.33% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 3.11% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.02% Total : 60.84% |
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