Israeli Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 30, 2023 at 6pm UK
Yaakov Turner Toto Stadium
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ashta (36'), Dov Glezer (90+3')
Coverage of the Israeli Premier League clash between Hapoel Be'er Sheva and Hapoel Jerusalem.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 59.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Hapoel Katamon had a probability of 16.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Hapoel Katamon win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.
| Result |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Hapoel Katamon |
59.93% ( -0.25) | 23.14% ( 0.09) | 16.93% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 45.96% ( 0.05) |
| 47.38% ( -0.1) | 52.62% ( 0.09) |
| 25.73% ( -0.08) | 74.27% ( 0.08) |
| 82.77% ( -0.12) | 17.22% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.48% ( -0.21) | 47.51% ( 0.21) |
| 55.52% ( 0.14) | 44.48% ( -0.15) |
