SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levski Sofia win with a probability of 47.49%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 25.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Levski Sofia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Levski Sofia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Levski Sofia | Draw | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
47.49% ( -0.58) | 27.3% ( -0.16) | 25.21% ( 0.74) |
| Both teams to score 45.46% ( 1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.89% ( 1.01) | 59.1% ( -1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.45% ( 0.77) | 79.55% ( -0.77) |
| Levski Sofia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.04% ( 0.18) | 24.96% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.4% ( 0.24) | 59.6% ( -0.24) |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.58% ( 1.25) | 39.42% ( -1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.88% ( 1.14) | 76.11% ( -1.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Levski Sofia | Draw | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
| 1-0 @ 13.65% ( -0.46) 2-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.27)2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.24% Total : 47.49% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.37)2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.44% Total : 25.21% |
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