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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 52.19%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Ironi Kiryat Shmona had a probability of 22.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Ironi Kiryat Shmona win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Ironi Kiryat Shmona |
52.19% ( 0.02) | 24.82% | 22.99% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.24% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.26% ( -0.02) | 51.74% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.49% ( -0.01) | 73.51% ( 0.01) |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.19% ( -0) | 19.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.12% ( -0) | 51.87% |
| Ironi Kiryat Shmona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.65% ( -0.02) | 37.35% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.86% ( -0.02) | 74.13% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Ironi Kiryat Shmona |
| 1-0 @ 11.97% 2-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.16% 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.09% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.81% Total : 52.18% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0)Other @ 0.92% Total : 24.81% | 0-1 @ 7.29% 1-2 @ 5.81% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 1.68% Total : 22.99% |
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