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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Beitar Jerusalem had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Beitar Jerusalem win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Beitar Jerusalem |
39.62% ( 0.01) | 25.45% ( -0.01) | 34.93% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.97% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.13% ( 0.03) | 47.87% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.94% ( 0.03) | 70.05% ( -0.04) |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.11% ( 0.02) | 23.88% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.91% ( 0.03) | 58.08% ( -0.04) |
| Beitar Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.53% ( 0.01) | 26.46% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.35% ( 0.02) | 61.65% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Beitar Jerusalem |
| 1-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.48% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 39.62% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8% 0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 3.22% Total : 34.94% |
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