SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 52.68%. A win for Maccabi Netanya had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Maccabi Netanya win was 0-1 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Maccabi Netanya |
52.68% ( 0.35) | 23.36% ( -0.09) | 23.96% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 55.96% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.29% ( 0.13) | 44.71% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.92% ( 0.13) | 67.08% ( -0.13) |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.04% ( 0.18) | 16.96% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.95% ( 0.32) | 47.05% ( -0.32) |
| Maccabi Netanya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.39% ( -0.15) | 32.61% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.85% ( -0.17) | 69.15% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Maccabi Netanya |
| 1-0 @ 9.81% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.07% Total : 52.68% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.36% | 0-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.49% Total : 23.96% |
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