SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Netanya win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Hapoel Jerusalem had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Netanya win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Hapoel Jerusalem win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Netanya would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maccabi Netanya | Draw | Hapoel Jerusalem |
45.8% ( 0.02) | 25.57% ( -0) | 28.63% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.01% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.43% ( 0.01) | 50.57% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.51% ( 0.01) | 72.48% ( -0.01) |
| Maccabi Netanya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.94% ( 0.01) | 22.06% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.6% ( 0.02) | 55.4% ( -0.02) |
| Hapoel Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.01% ( -0) | 31.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.55% ( -0) | 68.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Maccabi Netanya | Draw | Hapoel Jerusalem |
| 1-0 @ 10.66% 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.06% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0)4-2 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 45.79% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0)3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 28.63% |
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