Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Petah Tikva win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Petah Tikva win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Hapoel Hadera win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
