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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Jerusalem win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Hapoel Tel Aviv had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Jerusalem win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Hapoel Tel Aviv win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | Draw | Hapoel Jerusalem |
33.95% ( 0.04) | 26.95% ( 0) | 39.09% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.84% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.64% ( -0) | 54.36% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.26% ( -0) | 75.74% ( 0) |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.77% ( 0.03) | 30.22% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.61% ( 0.03) | 66.39% ( -0.03) |
| Hapoel Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.87% ( -0.02) | 27.13% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.47% ( -0.03) | 62.52% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | Draw | Hapoel Jerusalem |
| 1-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 33.95% | 1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.2% ( 0)2-2 @ 5% ( 0)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.94% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 39.09% |
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