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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Tel Aviv win with a probability of 43.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Hapoel Katamon had a probability of 27.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Tel Aviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.77%) and 1-2 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Hapoel Katamon win it was 1-0 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Katamon | Draw | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
27.74% ( -0.14) | 28.59% ( -0.02) | 43.67% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 43.84% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.94% | 62.06% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.22% ( -0) | 81.78% ( 0.01) |
| Hapoel Katamon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.12% ( -0.12) | 38.88% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.39% ( -0.11) | 75.61% ( 0.12) |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% ( 0.09) | 28.28% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.01% ( 0.11) | 64% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Katamon | Draw | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.52% Total : 27.74% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.57% | 0-1 @ 13.88% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.63% Total : 43.67% |
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