Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 67.22%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Celje had a probability of 13.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Celje win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.