Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Petah Tikva win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Ashdod had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Petah Tikva win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Ashdod win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
