SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Haifa win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Maccabi Petah Tikva had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Haifa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Maccabi Petah Tikva win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Haifa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maccabi Petah Tikva | Draw | Hapoel Haifa |
35.51% ( 0.1) | 27.05% ( 0.02) | 37.44% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 50.74% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.42% ( -0.05) | 54.58% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.08% ( -0.04) | 75.92% ( 0.04) |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.65% ( 0.03) | 29.35% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.67% ( 0.05) | 65.33% ( -0.05) |
| Hapoel Haifa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.81% ( -0.09) | 28.18% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.12% ( -0.12) | 63.87% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva | Draw | Hapoel Haifa |
| 1-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 35.5% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0)Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 37.44% |
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