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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Maccabi Petah Tikva had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Maccabi Petah Tikva win was 1-0 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maccabi Petah Tikva | Draw | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
33.38% ( 0.12) | 28.39% ( -0) | 38.23% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 46.43% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.16% ( 0.02) | 59.83% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.89% ( 0.02) | 80.11% ( -0.02) |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.6% ( 0.09) | 33.4% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.97% ( 0.11) | 70.02% ( -0.11) |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.72% ( -0.07) | 30.28% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.54% ( -0.08) | 66.46% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva | Draw | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 33.38% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.39% | 0-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.23% |
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