Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 52.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 23.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.