Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Consadole Sapporo had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.98%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Consadole Sapporo win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.