Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 54.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.68%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 1-0 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Consadole Sapporo would win this match.
