Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 49.86%. A win for Consadole Sapporo had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Consadole Sapporo win was 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.