Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Consadole Sapporo had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gamba Osaka in this match.