Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 57.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashiwa Reysol would win this match.