Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.