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J1 League | Gameweek 25
Jul 11, 2020 at 11am UK
Todoroki Athletics Stadium

Kawasaki
3 - 1
Reysol

Ienaga (40', 42'), Damiao (52')
Wakizaka (31'), Kurumaya (44'), Morita (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Goya (56')
Someya (61'), Segawa (90+4')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Kashiwa Reysol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawKashiwa Reysol
45.89%24.8%29.32%
Both teams to score 55.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.07%46.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.82%69.17%
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.48%20.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.99%53.01%
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.38%29.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.34%65.65%
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 45.89%
    Kashiwa Reysol 29.32%
    Draw 24.8%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawKashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 9.62%
2-1 @ 9.28%
2-0 @ 7.62%
3-1 @ 4.9%
3-0 @ 4.03%
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 1.94%
4-0 @ 1.59%
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 45.89%
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 6.08%
2-2 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.39%
1-2 @ 7.13%
0-2 @ 4.5%
1-3 @ 2.89%
2-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 29.32%


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