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J1 League | Gameweek 8
Jul 8, 2020 at 11.30am UK
Mizuho Athletic Stadium
GO

Nagoya Grampus
2 - 2
Gamba Osaka

Mateus (16'), Xavier (31')
Yonemoto (3'), Inagaki (70')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Miura (6'), Watanabe (90+2')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Gamba Osaka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawGamba Osaka
41.48%25.31%33.2%
Both teams to score 56.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.35%47.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15%69.85%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15%22.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.42%56.58%
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.59%27.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.12%62.89%
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 41.48%
    Gamba Osaka 33.2%
    Draw 25.31%
Nagoya GrampusDrawGamba Osaka
1-0 @ 9.25%
2-1 @ 8.83%
2-0 @ 6.82%
3-1 @ 4.35%
3-0 @ 3.36%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-0 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 41.48%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 6.26%
2-2 @ 5.72%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 8.11%
1-2 @ 7.74%
0-2 @ 5.25%
1-3 @ 3.34%
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 33.2%


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