SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 13.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.49%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Oita Trinita win it was 1-0 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oita Trinita | Draw | Kawasaki Frontale |
| 13.79% | 20.63% | 65.58% |
| Both teams to score 46.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.76% | 48.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.61% | 70.39% |
| Oita Trinita Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.83% | 46.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.14% | 81.85% |
| Kawasaki Frontale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.1% | 13.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.68% | 41.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oita Trinita | Draw | Kawasaki Frontale |
| 1-0 @ 4.96% 2-1 @ 3.78% 2-0 @ 1.92% 3-1 @ 0.97% 3-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.2% Total : 13.79% | 1-1 @ 9.79% 0-0 @ 6.42% 2-2 @ 3.73% Other @ 0.7% Total : 20.63% | 0-1 @ 12.66% 0-2 @ 12.49% 1-2 @ 9.66% 0-3 @ 8.22% 1-3 @ 6.35% 0-4 @ 4.06% 1-4 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-5 @ 1.6% 1-5 @ 1.24% 2-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.5% Total : 65.57% |
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