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J1 League | Gameweek 15
Oct 18, 2020 at 11am UK
Todoroki Athletics Stadium

Kawasaki
3 - 0
Nagoya Grampus

Mitoma (44'), Nakatani (57' og.), Jesiel (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kanazaki (90')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Nagoya Grampus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 63.69%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 15.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawNagoya Grampus
63.69%20.65%15.65%
Both teams to score 50.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.37%44.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.01%66.99%
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.67%13.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.8%40.2%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.67%41.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.15%77.85%
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 63.68%
    Nagoya Grampus 15.65%
    Draw 20.65%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawNagoya Grampus
2-0 @ 11.18%
1-0 @ 11.1%
2-1 @ 9.88%
3-0 @ 7.51%
3-1 @ 6.64%
4-0 @ 3.79%
4-1 @ 3.35%
3-2 @ 2.93%
5-0 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1.48%
5-1 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 63.68%
1-1 @ 9.81%
0-0 @ 5.51%
2-2 @ 4.37%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 20.65%
0-1 @ 4.87%
1-2 @ 4.33%
0-2 @ 2.15%
2-3 @ 1.29%
1-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 15.65%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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