Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Shonan Bellmare	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
37.92%	29.52%	32.56%

Both teams to score 43.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.26%

63.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17%

83%

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.54%

32.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.02%

68.98%

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.94%

36.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.16%

72.84%

Score Analysis

Shonan Bellmare 37.92%

Kyoto Sanga 32.55%

Draw 29.51%

Shonan Bellmare	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 13.17% 2-1 @ 7.56% 2-0 @ 7.41% 3-1 @ 2.84% 3-0 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.72% Total : 37.92%	1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 11.7% 2-2 @ 3.85% Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.51%	0-1 @ 11.93% 1-2 @ 6.85% 0-2 @ 6.09% 1-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.98% Total : 32.55%