Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
