Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kyoto Sanga win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 0-1 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Jubilo Iwata
36.75%	28.1%	35.15%

Both teams to score 47.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.37%

58.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.82%

79.18%

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.42%

30.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.18%

66.82%

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.4%

31.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32%

68%

Score Analysis

Kyoto Sanga 36.74%

Jubilo Iwata 35.15%

Draw 28.1%

Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Jubilo Iwata
1-0 @ 11.44% 2-1 @ 7.81% 2-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 3.09% 3-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 1.78% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.25% Total : 36.74%	1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 9.66% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.1%	0-1 @ 11.13% 1-2 @ 7.6% 0-2 @ 6.41% 1-3 @ 2.92% 0-3 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.9% Total : 35.15%