Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Elche had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.