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La Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2019 at 4pm UK
Abanca-BalaĆ­dos (Vigo)
RM

1 - 3

I (90+1')
Vazquez (7'), Suarez (12'), Blanco (12'), Fernandez (49'), Costas (74'), Cheikh Diop Gueye (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Benzema (12'), Kroos (61'), Vazquez (80')
Junior (36'), A (64')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawReal Madrid
30.37%25.68%43.95%
Both teams to score 53.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.81%50.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.85%72.15%
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.45%30.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.23%66.77%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.24%22.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.55%56.44%
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 30.37%
    Real Madrid 43.95%
    Draw 25.68%
Celta VigoDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 8.24%
2-1 @ 7.24%
2-0 @ 4.89%
3-1 @ 2.86%
3-2 @ 2.12%
3-0 @ 1.93%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 30.37%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.95%
2-2 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 10.29%
1-2 @ 9.03%
0-2 @ 7.62%
1-3 @ 4.46%
0-3 @ 3.76%
2-3 @ 2.64%
1-4 @ 1.65%
0-4 @ 1.39%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 43.95%


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