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La Liga | Gameweek 38
Jul 19, 2020 at 8pm UK
Los Carmenes
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Granada
4 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Soldado (29'), Puertas (55'), Fernandez (67'), Montoro (90+3')
Herrera (6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Garcia (17'), Berchiche (75')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Granada had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
GranadaDrawAthletic Bilbao
32.83%27.89%39.28%
Both teams to score 47.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.86%58.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.2%78.8%
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.1%32.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.52%69.48%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17%28.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.31%64.69%
Score Analysis
    Granada 32.82%
    Athletic Bilbao 39.28%
    Draw 27.89%
GranadaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 7.29%
2-0 @ 5.86%
3-1 @ 2.7%
3-0 @ 2.17%
3-2 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 32.82%
1-1 @ 13.11%
0-0 @ 9.49%
2-2 @ 4.53%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.89%
0-1 @ 11.79%
1-2 @ 8.16%
0-2 @ 7.34%
1-3 @ 3.38%
0-3 @ 3.04%
2-3 @ 1.88%
1-4 @ 1.05%
0-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 39.28%


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