Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.