SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 64.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 15.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Eibar win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Eibar |
| 64.09% | 20.25% | 15.66% |
| Both teams to score 52.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.19% | 42.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.78% | 65.21% |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.34% | 12.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.18% | 38.82% |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.79% | 40.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.16% | 76.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Eibar |
| 2-0 @ 10.87% 1-0 @ 10.51% 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 7.49% 3-1 @ 6.83% 4-0 @ 3.87% 4-1 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 3.11% 4-2 @ 1.61% 5-0 @ 1.6% 5-1 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.3% Total : 64.08% | 1-1 @ 9.58% 0-0 @ 5.09% 2-2 @ 4.51% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.25% | 0-1 @ 4.64% 1-2 @ 4.37% 0-2 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.37% 1-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.85% Total : 15.66% |
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