Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 64.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 15.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Eibar win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
