Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 59.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 16.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.