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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 7
Aug 9, 2020 at 5pm UK
The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium
SR

Derry
1 - 2
Shamrock

Figueira (36')
Bruna (8'), Malone (31'), McCormack (60'), Thomson (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Horgan (78' og.), Lopes (82')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and Shamrock Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Derry City win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.

Result
Derry CityDrawShamrock Rovers
30.82%26.8%42.38%
Both teams to score 50.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.46%54.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.11%75.89%
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.55%32.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.02%68.98%
Shamrock Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55%25.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.72%60.28%
Score Analysis
    Derry City 30.82%
    Shamrock Rovers 42.38%
    Draw 26.79%
Derry CityDrawShamrock Rovers
1-0 @ 9.3%
2-1 @ 7.16%
2-0 @ 5.23%
3-1 @ 2.69%
3-0 @ 1.96%
3-2 @ 1.84%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 30.82%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 8.26%
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 11.3%
1-2 @ 8.7%
0-2 @ 7.73%
1-3 @ 3.97%
0-3 @ 3.53%
2-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 1.36%
0-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 42.38%


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